Re: The Official Layoff Thread!!!
[quote=DreamGirlie;688708][URL]http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/12/12/60minutes/main4666112.shtml[/URL]
Check it out...[/quote]
Some of the Alt-A loans were apparently part of the subprime mess, so it's not totally "separate." That being said, it still is going to get rough, as the 2004 ARM loans reset after hitting the 5-year point next year, and the last peaks from '06 reset after 3. Pretty good segment either way.
Banks are literally so swamped with this shit, that it's effectively selective prosecution...you may get foreclosed, but they may not throw you out right away. You may face it, but an auction may not be held due to the paperwork shuffle. Lenders will work a forbearance out, or say no. Or they'll say this, or that, or something else, or change their mind the next day. Lenders will package and sell homes to each other like they do paper debts.
Another underlying problem I'm seeing is this: with home values still projected to decline upwards of 10% in areas, I use a comps service that allows me to see what's sold in the area of a target home I select (as I shop around for investment opportunities). This service is unique because it shows the mortgages obtained on said home sales (after all, homes still need to be bought & sold and they are). Many sales are still having mortgages taken out that are at least 90, 95, 97% (FHA loans allows 3% down) plus percent of the value. Won't take much of a drop where you suddenly have no equity, or are underwater.
1 out of 10 mortgages right now have at least missed payments. Half of all the modified loans are back in default again. People are either really getting swindled out there, or the stupidity of overbuying/can't afford the home is absolutely out of control. And yes job losses count too...few more months at the present rate we're seeing will effectively wipe out all the job gains of the past 3-4+ years.