Re: Explaining the Financial Crisis
[quote=thesightless;654632]there is a general rule of thumb in the financial sector regarding administrations .... you never feel thier impact until roughly 5-8 years after tehy are implemented. i.e. clinton inheriting reaganomics, bush inheriting clintons, and obama inheriting bush2.
the biggest issue spoken of when analyzing this, enron, and tech bubble, is the fact that congress in 1993 and 95 tried to pass a sweeping accounting bill in regards to the transparency and tracking of the SEC and commoditied markets. it was vetoed twice under the auspice of it would favor the big 5 accounbting firms.well, we let them go and refused to act on the SEC reporting, and look what happened. arthur anderson, enron, stocks dying when people suddenly realized that most websites listed on the exchange dont actualy have income. normally, it takes about 2-3 years for any bill regulating the markets to be implemented, take hold, and adjusted for the trickery that they create. then the intial result begin to take hold and results start to show. once the change goes into effect, then the market itself finds ways to either go with it, or to get around it. (think hedge funds & R&D costs onthe balance sheets.) for a long time, we allowed these companies to say they had monster cash assests, when in fact most of it was from common stock values, which as you know, flucuate hourly. this is also why companies like pratt and whitney , boeing, IBM, the energy sector, united tech, GM's holdings outside the auto industry (maytag, etc) 3M, all have long term stability and growth, as finance understands the overwhelming majority of thier value lies in long term stocks, and the ability to withstand market issues.
a HUGE HOWEVER, is bush's inability and refusal to ask questions when certain stocks had heavy flucuations after 9/11.
one huge note i tend to mention lately is that those bills from the 90's would have clearly been a huge double check for banking acrtivities. and both GW AND BC let it go. greenspan should have noted this, but either didnt care, or was riding the wave of succes and not asking why we suddenly had so much success at a level not seen since post ww2.
our goverments over the last 15-18 years, were so enamored with the tidal wave of money, they were touting it, instead of checking it.[/quote]
Interesting read, well done brotha.