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First 100 hours

35 durable postsStarted 2007-01-04Latest 2007-01-09
#36633Post 1 of 35

Well, the new Congress with the dems in charge is underway. Here's the agenda out of the gate:

[QUOTE][B]The first 100 hours[/B]

[U]January 4, 2007[/U]

House Speaker-designate Nancy Pelosi and her top aides have outlined a full agenda for Democrats' first 100 legislative hours in power, starting after members of the 110th Congress are sworn in today. Pelosi has vowed to complete work on those items before President Bush delivers his State of the Union address on Jan. 23.

[U]Today and tomorrow[/U]

Ethics and lobbying reform, including ban on gifts and travel paid for by lobbying organizations, and a requirement that all privately funded travel be pre-approved by the House Ethics Committee.

Earmark reform, including a requirement that House members publicly acknowledge special projects they are seeking.

"Pay-as-you-go" budgeting, requiring any increase in spending to be offset with a revenue enhancement or budget cut.

[U]Week of Jan. 8[/U]

Enact 9/11 Commission recommendations, including enhanced cargo screening and ensuring better communication among first responders to emergencies.

Increase the federal minimum wage, from $5.15 an hour to $7.25 an hour.

Expand federal funding for embryonic stem cell research, overriding the president's restrictions on such funding.

Permit Medicare to negotiate with drug companies, to bring potentially lower prices to program participants.

[U]Week of Jan. 15[/U]

Cut student loan interest rates in half.

Repeal tax cuts for big oil companies, to create a pool to fund renewable energy initiatives.[/QUOTE]

[url]http://www.boston.com/news/nation/washington/articles/2007/01/04/the_first_100_hours/[/url]

Thoughts?

#781308Post 2 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

Only thing that interests me and a good things is the raising of the minimum wage. That should've been done a long time ago.

What about discussing change in Iraq and Darfur? Sure you don't get things accomplished on those two tough subjects in a few days, but those are huge topics. A fresh perspective on Iraq imo is how the Democrats got elected in the first place.

#781310Post 3 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

I'll take it week by week...

[QUOTE][U]Today and tomorrow[/U]

Ethics and lobbying reform, including ban on gifts and travel paid for by lobbying organizations, and a requirement that all privately funded travel be pre-approved by the House Ethics Committee.

Earmark reform, including a requirement that House members publicly acknowledge special projects they are seeking.

"Pay-as-you-go" budgeting, requiring any increase in spending to be offset with a revenue enhancement or budget cut.[/QUOTE] I'm a huge fan of lobbying reform...in fact I wish we'd as a country finally decide that privately funded campaigns is a bad thing and shift towards a publicly funded campaign, where each candidate gets a limited amount of funds to spend and a limited amount of air time (including print media).

Special projects reform, very good move...in fact I hope the first thing they get rid of is Ted Steven's bullshit pork barrel project of a $325 million bridge in alaska for 50 residents...hell I'd rather give each of em a boat, which would cost less than the bridge.

Pay as you go budgeting, I like the idea, but am damn afraid of where all those funds alloted to Iraq go after we withdraw or cut back on troops...frankly, I don't trust them.

[QUOTE][U]Week of Jan. 8[/U]

Enact 9/11 Commission recommendations, including enhanced cargo screening and ensuring better communication among first responders to emergencies.

Increase the federal minimum wage, from $5.15 an hour to $7.25 an hour.

Expand federal funding for embryonic stem cell research, overriding the president's restrictions on such funding.

Permit Medicare to negotiate with drug companies, to bring potentially lower prices to program participants.[/QUOTE] Here's where I get a little more afraid. 9/11 recommendations need to be implemented, but I'm afraid of how they've picked and choosed which to implement and which to continue to ignore.

minmum wage does need to go up

good luck with that stem cell funding...far from enough votes to override the impending veto.

As for the medicare, I'm not sure exactly what they intend to do here, but if I had my wish on the top two legislation to rollback from the past 6 years, they'd be the bankruptcy bill, which was fuckin written by the banking industry and is a hell of a gift to them and the medicare reform bill, which is a hell of gimme to the pharmys and might as well have been written by them as well. [QUOTE][U]Week of Jan. 15[/U]

Cut student loan interest rates in half.

Repeal tax cuts for big oil companies, to create a pool to fund renewable energy initiatives.[/QUOTE]

I'd love for my fuckin student loans to have the interest cut. Truthfully I've watched them go up and up and not necessarily in line with general interest rates. But aside from my own greedy motives, we seriously need to be looking towards educating our society better and if this is one way to promote it then I wish them the best. We have been quickly falling behind many other countries in the world to the point of embarassment and if we don't stop the bleeding now, we'll just be speeding up the inevitable fall of our economic leadership and power.

oil companies...well all you really need to do is look at the deals that they've been able to make with our government in regards to taxes and royalties. It's pathetic the extent to which they get breaks and continue to break record after record year after year and for those who'll begin arguing that they're making up for unprofitable years past, that's just utter bullshit because even at the worst the oil companies are still at the top of the profit charts every year.

All in all, a lot of interesting ideas, but frankly I don't trust them. One of those looks good on paper, now let's see what they're actually able to accomplish.

#781322Post 4 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[QUOTE=superdave;428735] What about discussing change in Iraq and Darfur? Sure you don't get things accomplished on those two tough subjects in a few days, but those are huge topics. [/QUOTE]

I think you've answered your own question. Those are both massive topics that have the potential to really bog things down and -- as they should -- require a great deal of thought, debate and deliberation. I think the strategy is to hit a few things quickly in the "first 100 hours" that are less contentious before tackling issues that are likely to take a while. My opinion, FWIW.

#781324Post 5 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[quote=superdave;428735]Only thing that interests me and a good things is the raising of the minimum wage. That should've been done a long time ago. [/quote]

how many times did you fail remedial econ 101?

#781332Post 6 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

the only thg i see here is one party sayying fuck you to the other, and on top of that, does nancy pelosi actually think the republicans will aloow anything that she rams through to be passed in the senate>? the republicans will hold up everything and it will be a tit for tat BS 3 months of government until she allows the republicans back into the fray.

fuck her, fuck bush, fuck em all.

#781339Post 7 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

^sounds like you're in a good mood today ;)

#781350Post 8 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

im sitting in brooklyn, and spent the last hour arguing with a union rep over hours for employees because i sent 4 guys home today and they filed a complaint. they wanted to be paid today because for once in their lives they actually worked hard and finished a job ahead of the time, and my client didnt have work ready for them.

that and i have to hear how the new government is going to change things like lowering interest rates on students when in all reality, we know they wont and cant. you cannot change a privately negotiated contract within the law unless you change the law. so my payment will reamin the same.

im also listening to how they will work together by shutting the repubs out of the house for the first 2 months. yeah right.

not to mention shit that bush will veto right off and the senate wont allow to go through. (stem cell research)

the minimum wage raise is stupid. instead of that, try forcing ppl to learn a real life job skill instead of relying on others. the only way it will get through is that if they enact the RIGHT laws along with it, like small business tax breaks and payroll tax reductions. cuz, everyone with a college degrfee knows that if employer X suddenly has to pay more, his, and my first move is to cut hours big time.

and in regards to today's big mission..... ethics reform... they all wanna tell us things, like im innocent, but they are all guilty, go check ms pelosi's fundraising if you dont beleive me. it will be soft, and cater to large employee groups so they can continue unherded in thier ways while she comes out and tells us how big business got out of government, but wait, only certain businesses. COMON dont be stupid look through all this shit. nothing positive is going to happen, and a lot of ppl are going to be pissed off and i guarantee the economy dips within the next 5 months.

fuck em all.im out. i actually have work to do today.

#781375Post 9 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[QUOTE=thesightless;428782] that and i have to hear how the new government is going to change things like lowering interest rates on students when in all reality, we know they wont and cant. you cannot change a privately negotiated contract within the law unless you change the law. so my payment will reamin the same. [/QUOTE]

Well, I had kinda assumed that this legislation would only apply to new loans. Apart from the problems of upsetting a privately negotiated contract you mentioned, many of these loans have been sold on the secondary market, maybe multiple times, or consolidated, so making retroactive changes would be a colossal clusterfuck.

I think ruby's right, though, that doing something to make getting a quality education easier for people is extremely important, or we're going to continue to lag behind the world. At least facially, this seems like a step in the right direction.

[QUOTE=thesightless;428782] not to mention shit that bush will veto right off and the senate wont allow to go through. (stem cell research)

the minimum wage raise is stupid. instead of that, try forcing ppl to learn a real life job skill instead of relying on others. the only way it will get through is that if they enact the RIGHT laws along with it, like small business tax breaks and payroll tax reductions. cuz, everyone with a college degrfee knows that if employer X suddenly has to pay more, his, and my first move is to cut hours big time. [/QUOTE]

Let him veto it. Sometimes these things don't happen overnight, sometimes you've got to poke the bear for a while. Eventually, it'll get through.

[QUOTE=thesightless;428782] the minimum wage raise is stupid. instead of that, try forcing ppl to learn a real life job skill instead of relying on others. the only way it will get through is that if they enact the RIGHT laws along with it, like small business tax breaks and payroll tax reductions. cuz, everyone with a college degrfee knows that if employer X suddenly has to pay more, his, and my first move is to cut hours big time. [/QUOTE]

I'm not for handouts and I believe in survival of the fittest, but c'mon, $5.15 an hour? Even before taxes, a 40-hour work week would earn you $206. That's just ridiculous. I've spent more than that in an evening more times than I'd care to report. Sure, let's do what we can to help small businesses (and big businesses, for that matter), but it shouldn't come at the expense of the employees. The minimum wage has fallen well behind the CPI, so a bump is long overdue, IMO.

#781382Post 10 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

regarding your last point I found this chart fairly enlightening:

[IMG]http://www.economist.com/images/ga/2007w01/FatCats.gif[/IMG]

and the article interesting as well: [url]http://www.economist.com/daily/news/displaystory.cfm?story_id=8505157&top_story=1[/url]

#781395Post 11 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

Less than 2% of workers in the USA make the minimum wage. Raising the wage will likely result in layoffs and reduced hours.

#781397Post 12 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[QUOTE=subterFUSE;428830]Less than 2% of workers in the USA make the minimum wage. Raising the wage will likely result in layoffs and reduced hours.[/QUOTE]

At least 29 states have already raised the minimum wage on their own above the federal level. Any evidence that that has actually happened?

#781417Post 13 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[IMG]http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2007/POLITICS/01/04/congress.rdp/newt1.2457.gavel.gi.jpg[/IMG]

This has serious photoshop potential.

#781420Post 14 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[QUOTE=toasty;428832][QUOTE=subterFUSE;428830]Less than 2% of workers in the USA make the minimum wage. Raising the wage will likely result in layoffs and reduced hours.[/QUOTE]

At least 29 states have already raised the minimum wage on their own above the federal level. Any evidence that that has actually happened?[/QUOTE] It's interesting how so many are quick to claim that a higher minimum wage would lead to unemployment and yet every single study of this I've found shows there were little if any effect on unemployment (in fact many state's with higher rates saw decreases in unemployment).

In my humble opinion, I suggest that these numbers are explained by:

a) with a higher minimum wage (and one that's actually a livable), the unemployed are more apt and willing to get the jobs available at that rate

b) employers may be helped out by getting better productivity and hence the added wages are recouped

c) employers could actually afford the higher wages regardless of their arguing against it

just some thoughts off the top of my head...

#781426Post 15 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

Don't take my word for it. ;)

[URL]http://www.epionline.org/oped_detail.cfm?oid=48[/URL]

[URL]http://www.acton.org/ppolicy/comment/article.php?id=336[/URL]

[URL]http://www.nationalcenter.org/WCT010207MinimumWage.html[/URL]

[URL]http://www.heritage.org/Research/Economy/wm1176.cfm[/URL]

[URL]http://www.mises.org/story/2130[/URL]

[URL]http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/08/16/opinion/main1901101.shtml[/URL]

#781432Post 16 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[QUOTE] b) employers may be helped out by getting better productivity and hence the added wages are recouped

c) employers could actually afford the higher wages regardless of their arguing against it

[/QUOTE]

dude.................... ill tel you right off the bat... no on both accounts.

employees only work hard if given threats or short term incentives. that is the truth. most of the businesses in this country are small businesses. if they had a clue they would tier the wage increases based upon gross income so thaT THE higher income businesses would foot the bill as opposed to a deli owner who is pulling in 50K all year in his own pocket after all the expenses.

#781439Post 17 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[QUOTE=subterFUSE;428861]Don't take my word for it. ;)

[URL]http://www.epionline.org/oped_detail.cfm?oid=48[/URL]

[URL]http://www.acton.org/ppolicy/comment/article.php?id=336[/URL]

[URL]http://www.nationalcenter.org/WCT010207MinimumWage.html[/URL]

[URL]http://www.heritage.org/Research/Economy/wm1176.cfm[/URL]

[URL]http://www.mises.org/story/2130[/URL]

[URL]http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/08/16/opinion/main1901101.shtml[/URL][/QUOTE]

Golly, I wouldn't expect any of these sources to be against the minimum wage. :roll: You almost had me thinking you were quoting a liberal source with CBS News -- until I realized it was quoting The Weekly Standard... ;)

I love the article from "What Conservatives Think" just because I think it is a riot that there is a newsletter called "What Conservatives Think." Is that how you guys all manage to spit out the same talking points? You circulate a newsletter telling everyone what to think? :lol: :lol: :lol: They must have removed me from the mailing list a couple years back...

#781441Post 18 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

There are not many large businesses which pay minimum wages. Like I said before, less than 2% of workers make the minimum wage.

Try to think of companies which pay minimum wage to people.... you'll be surprised. The most common image is someone flipping burgers at McDonald's. But most fast food employees make more than the minimum. But let's say that we increase the fed rate, and now most employees at McDonald's make only the minimum... who is footing the cost for that? Its not the McDonald's corporation, because McDonald's restaurants are franchised. They are all small businesses privately owned by individuals, simply paying the McDonald's corp for the name, advertising and products. The McDonald's corportation itself won't see an ounce of difference by a wage increase, because it is doubtful that a single person working for the corporaton makes min. wage.

#781443Post 19 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[QUOTE=subterFUSE;428876]But let's say that we increase the fed rate, and now most employees at McDonald's make only the minimum... who is footing the cost for that? Its not the McDonald's corporation, because McDonald's restaurants are franchised. They are all small businesses privately owned by individuals, simply paying the McDonald's corp for the name, advertising and products. The McDonald's corportation itself won't see an ounce of difference by a wage increase, because it is doubtful that a single person working for the corporaton makes min. wage.[/QUOTE]

What's your point? You make it seem as if raising the minimum wage is intended to punish employers. Who cares if McDonalds corporate feels it or not? The point is that the minimum wage needs to keep up with the cost of living, period.

#781456Post 20 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[quote=toasty;428878]What's your point? You make it seem as if raising the minimum wage is intended to punish employers. Who cares if McDonalds corporate feels it or not? The point is that the minimum wage needs to keep up with the cost of living, period.[/quote]

It was in response to what Sightless was mentioning in his last post.

#781461Post 21 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[quote=toasty;428878]What's your point? You make it seem as if raising the minimum wage is intended to punish employers. Who cares if McDonalds corporate feels it or not? The point is that the minimum wage needs to keep up with the cost of living, period.[/quote]

what you are arguing is that the corporation, large or small, is at the will and whims of who it employees. this is not only retarded, but aside from ad hominem, is also incredibly destructive to the business world in general.

What you argue here is no less than a return to communism.

So, in short, go live in Venezuela, or read an econ book for once in your life.

#781462Post 22 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

on second thought, promise me that you won't ever vote, ever.

#781475Post 23 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[QUOTE=88Mariner;428898]what you are arguing is that the corporation, large or small, is at the will and whims of who it employees. this is not only retarded, but aside from ad hominem, is also incredibly destructive to the business world in general.

What you argue here is no less than a return to communism.

So, in short, go live in Venezuela, or read an econ book for once in your life.[/QUOTE]

Oh give me a fucking break. I'm arguing nothing of the sort, and that ought to be obvious to any educated person -- and up until just now, I've always thought you presented yourself pretty well, so you ought to fall into that category. There is a difference between asking a company to bow to the will of its employees and asking that its wages be commensurate with the times.

Over half the states in this country have already decided that the federal minimum wage is too low and bumped it on their own, but you've taken a couple of econ courses at Terra Haute JuCo and read just enough about logic to misuse [I]ad hominem[/I], and suddenly you've got all the answers? :roll: And beyond that, I'm a [I]communist[/I] for having the audacity to suggest that the a minimum wage increase is a good idea, which, by the way, is supported by an overwhelming percentage of the populace? Whatever.

By the way, if I said that none of your points had any validity because you are a dumbass, that would be an example of an [I]ad hominem[/I] argument. For the record, though, I'm not saying that about you or anyone else on this forum.

Yet.

#781477Post 24 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

All I will say is the next two years will be interesting. Be prepared for anything.

#781502Post 25 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[quote]After calling herself "the most powerful woman in America," Mrs. Pelosi flexed her right muscle like a weight lifter to much applause at an event yesterday titled a "women's tea." "All right, let's hear it for the power," she screamed as the jubilant applause continued.[/quote]

:roll:

#781503Post 26 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[quote=toasty;428914]Oh give me a fucking break. I'm arguing nothing of the sort, and that ought to be obvious to any educated person -- and up until just now, I've always thought you presented yourself pretty well, so you ought to fall into that category. There is a difference between asking a company to bow to the will of its employees and asking that its wages be commensurate with the times. [/quote]

not at face value you're not. but at an abstract level, the very core of what you're saying is exactly what i've pointed out.

[quote]Over half the states in this country have already decided that the federal minimum wage is too low and bumped it on their own, but you've taken a couple of econ courses at Terra Haute JuCo and read just enough about logic to misuse [I]ad hominem[/I], and suddenly you've got all the answers? :roll: And beyond that, I'm a [I]communist[/I] for having the audacity to suggest that the a minimum wage increase is a good idea, which, by the way, is supported by an overwhelming percentage of the populace? Whatever. [/quote]

There's a junior college in Terra [sic] Haute? I think I appropriately used an ad hominem attack against you (retarded) in the context of the points you were making. I'm beginning to think that it was unecessary to point this out. Just because a minimum wage increase is supported by an overwheliming percentage of the populace, doesn't mean it is A) right, B) founded on rational ideas (or for that matter, with actual, credible, proven, historical statistics), and C) good. Populations at large have supported a multitude of laws and bills that do great harm to but a few upper-tier income earners. Slavery, anyone? Prohibition? War on Drugs? Vietnam War? Hell, a week after 9/11, you could have passed CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENTS That would legally abolish the civil rights of a small percentage of Americans.

Americans are notorious for supporting certain issues, only to, years later, backtrack on them after seeing the harm those related laws and bills have caused.

Minimum wage laws make it illegal to pay less than the government-specified price for labor. By the simplest and most basic economics (regardless of whether you've studied at Terra [sic] Haute or...ahem...Chicago) a price artificially raised tends to cause more to be supplied and less to be demanded than when the prices are left to be determined by supply and demand in a free market. The result is a suprlus, whether the price that is set artificially high is that of cars, computers, or in this case, labor. Minimum wage laws are almost always discussed politically in terms of the benefits they supposedly confer on workers recieving those wages. Unfortunately, the real minimum wage is always zero, regardless of the laws, and that is the wage that many workers recieve in the wake of the creation or escalation of a government-mandated minimum wage. Because they lose thier jobs. Making it illegal to pay less than a given amount does not make a worker's productivity worth that amount, and, if it is not, that worker is unlikely to be employed.

Although most modern industrial societies have minimum wage laws, not every one does. Switzerland and Hong Kong, have been amont those exceptions, and have both maintained very low unemployment rates. Hong Kong is, to me, is always an example that I can easily utilize to point out certain points of economics: minimum wage is no different. In 1991, when Hong Kong was a still a British colony, its unemployment rate fell to a seasonally adjusted 1.4% in the three months ended Nov. 30...the lowest level in 10 months, easing from 1.3 a year earlier and dropping sharply from 1.8% in the preceding three months. Hong Kong did not have a minimum wage law, but at the end of the twentieth century, labor law's mandated under China's rule gave many new benefits for workers. This imposed increase in labor costs was followed, predictably, by higher unemployment rates that reache 7.3% in 2002. Not just a few percentages, but multiples of.

This isn't the only example of why minimum wages rates are bad. Rates in Europe are generally higher than in the U.S., and correspondingly, European countries tend to have a higher unemployment rate than the U.S. (and job growth rates only a fraction of the American rate). Among 11 million Americans earning at or near the minimum wage in 2001, well over half were from 16 to 24 years of age. Just over half worked part-time. Yet political campaigns to increase minimum wage often talk in terms of providing a 'living wage', a 'wage' sufficient to support a family of four- such families as most minimum wage workers do not have and would be ill-advised to have before they reach the point where they can feed and clothe thier children.

Most empirical studies show that minimum wage laws reduce unemployment in general, and especially the employment of younger, less skilled, and minority workers. An overwhelming majority (90%) of professional economists surveyed in Britain, Canada, Germany, Switzerland, and the U.S., agree with this point.

If 2001 is to dated for you, try 2004:

The [URL="http://www.bls.gov/cps/minwage2004.htm#2"]U.S. Department of Labor [/URL]reports: "According to Current Population Survey estimates for 2004, some 73.9 million American workers were paid at hourly rates, representing 59.8 percent of all wage and salary workers. Of those paid by the hour, 520,000 were reported as earning exactly $5.15." Only about two percent of workers over 25 years of age earn minimum wages.

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Sixty-three percent of minimum wage workers receive raises within one year of employment, and only 15 percent still earn the minimum wage after three years. Furthermore, only 5.3 percent of minimum wage earners are from households below the official poverty line; forty percent of minimum wage earners live in households with incomes $60,000 and higher; and, over 82 percent of minimum wage earners do not have dependents.

The U.S. Department of Labor also reports that the "proportion of hourly-paid workers earning the prevailing Federal minimum wage or less has trended downward since 1979."

I could seriously write for hours on this topics. But I'll save my breath and sum whatever I have written in a simple point:

There's no such thing as a free lunch. Higher Labor costs increase unemployment.

(consider, on top of increasing unemployment, the other linked problems caused by this unintended, but notorious consequence: crime is one of the first ideas that come to mind...)

#781632Post 27 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

Agreed. And to add to this.....

The politicians claim that raising the minimum wage is an effort to bring the lowest income earners out of poverty. But this NEVER happens.

What does happen is the following:

Small businesses, which comprise the majority of companies which actually pay minimum wages, are faced with increased costs for operation with no corresponding increase in productivity. When the government forces you to pay $7 for work which cost you $5 yesterday, you are simply getting a reduction in profit unless you pass on those costs to the comsumer. If you increase prices for the consumer, you will lower demand for your products.... which will, in turn, lower the need for workers. When worker damand is lower, companies lay off employees.

Another consequence is that an increased minimum wage creates added incentive for younger people to abandon their education and enter the workforce. You see, by paying more money to low-income workers you increase the demand for people to seek those jobs. Young people will drop out of high school in greater numbers, because it simply pays better by a government mandate. So there will be an increase in the number of young people in the workforce, which will therefore push older people out of their jos..... because employers will be faced with the question of paying a younger, more productive... or keeping an older one. So the very people the law intended to help, namely the poor worker who is supposedly trying to support a family on $5.15 an hour, will get pushed out of their jobs by younger workers. And by encouraging young people to end their educations earlier, you decrease their potential for pulling themselves out of poverty over their lifetimes.

#781774Post 28 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[QUOTE=88Mariner;428946]not at face value you're not. but at an abstract level, the very core of what you're saying is exactly what i've pointed out.[/QUOTE]

Well at an abstract level, you're describing fascism, but I don't think you're actually a fascist any more than you probably think I'm actually a communist, so let's drop the abstractions and name-calling.

[QUOTE=88Mariner;428946] There's a junior college in Terra [sic] Haute? I think I appropriately used an ad hominem attack against you (retarded) in the context of the points you were making. [/QUOTE]

Well it doesn't really much matter if there's a junior college in Terra Haute, Terre Haute, or whatever the hell it's called. I'm not typically a fan of dickering over grammar, spelling, and whatnot, but it does bear mention that for someone anal enough to point out my misspelling of a tiny little town in Indiana, you sure have a lot of typos in your post.

And by the way, you DID misuse [I]ad hominem[/I], which literally means "argument to the person" and would either be me attacking you personally (which is kinda what you did to me) or appealing to sympathy, which really isn't applicable to anything I've said. There are a host of different reasons why bumping the minimum wage to keep pace with the CPI is a good idea, almost all of which are beyond, "because it would be a really nice thing to do" or "because people making minimum wage are suffering."

Ultimately, though, peppering your post with Latin phrases is so fucking pretentious, I feel duty bound to call you out on it when you botch it.

[QUOTE=88Mariner;428946] Minimum wage laws make it illegal to pay less than the government-specified price for labor. By the simplest and most basic economics (regardless of whether you've studied at Terra [sic] Haute or...ahem...Chicago) a price artificially raised tends to cause more to be supplied and less to be demanded than when the prices are left to be determined by supply and demand in a free market. The result is a suprlus, whether the price that is set artificially high is that of cars, computers, or in this case, labor. Minimum wage laws are almost always discussed politically in terms of the benefits they supposedly confer on workers recieving those wages. Unfortunately, the real minimum wage is always zero, regardless of the laws, and that is the wage that many workers recieve in the wake of the creation or escalation of a government-mandated minimum wage. Because they lose thier jobs. Making it illegal to pay less than a given amount does not make a worker's productivity worth that amount, and, if it is not, that worker is unlikely to be employed. [/QUOTE]

OK, but the "simplest and most basic economics" don't always behave as you think they should in the real world, do they? You may be able to pull out Hong Kong as an example that fits your argument, but you know there was a [B]lot [/B]more going on in Hong Kong at the time of the increase in unemployment you're talking about beyond a simple wage increase.

So that we can be assured that we're comparing apples to apples, a better comparison can be made by looking at the unemployment rate in the states that have enacted minimum wage laws that exceed federal standards. Do you see a lasting correlation between the states that increase the minimum wage and unemployment rates? I sure don't.

[QUOTE=88Mariner;428946] The [URL="http://www.bls.gov/cps/minwage2004.htm#2"]U.S. Department of Labor [/URL]reports: "According to Current Population Survey estimates for 2004, some 73.9 million American workers were paid at hourly rates, representing 59.8 percent of all wage and salary workers. Of those paid by the hour, 520,000 were reported as earning exactly $5.15." Only about two percent of workers over 25 years of age earn minimum wages.

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Sixty-three percent of minimum wage workers receive raises within one year of employment, and only 15 percent still earn the minimum wage after three years. Furthermore, only 5.3 percent of minimum wage earners are from households below the official poverty line; forty percent of minimum wage earners live in households with incomes $60,000 and higher; and, over 82 percent of minimum wage earners do not have dependents.

The U.S. Department of Labor also reports that the "proportion of hourly-paid workers earning the prevailing Federal minimum wage or less has trended downward since 1979." [/QUOTE]

This is a great example of how stats can be used to show pretty much anything you'd like to show. OK, only a half a million people earn [B]exactly[/B] the minimum wage and 63% get a raise within 1 year, and 85% get a raise within 3 years. Raise to what? You don't jump from $5.15 to the corner office. I remember when I had my first job way back when at Baskin Robbins and I got a raise, it was like $.10 an hour. Big fucking deal. If you make dick, and you get a raise, you're probably still making dick. A better measure would be to figure out how many people are earning less than, say, $7.50 an hour.

[QUOTE=subterFUSE;429081]Small businesses, which comprise the majority of companies which actually pay minimum wages, are faced with increased costs for operation with no corresponding increase in productivity. When the government forces you to pay $7 for work which cost you $5 yesterday, you are simply getting a reduction in profit unless you pass on those costs to the comsumer. If you increase prices for the consumer, you will lower demand for your products.... which will, in turn, lower the need for workers. When worker damand is lower, companies lay off employees. [/QUOTE]

Again, at the macro level, this would seem to make sense, but that assumes that increased costs are always passed on to consumers, which doesn't always happen in the real world. Also, it assumes a uniform elasticity for the demand of all products, and for the demand of labor. At the end of the day, it is an overly simplistic view. The reality is that over time, the cost of everything -- raw materials, labor, real estate, consumer products, etc -- has gone up, and the market always adapts.

[QUOTE=subterFUSE;429081] Another consequence is that an increased minimum wage creates added incentive for younger people to abandon their education and enter the workforce. You see, by paying more money to low-income workers you increase the demand for people to seek those jobs. Young people will drop out of high school in greater numbers, because it simply pays better by a government mandate. So there will be an increase in the number of young people in the workforce, which will therefore push older people out of their jos..... because employers will be faced with the question of paying a younger, more productive... or keeping an older one. So the very people the law intended to help, namely the poor worker who is supposedly trying to support a family on $5.15 an hour, will get pushed out of their jobs by younger workers. And by encouraging young people to end their educations earlier, you decrease their potential for pulling themselves out of poverty over their lifetimes.[/QUOTE]

Now that is a stretch. Again, is this happening in the states that have increased the minimum wage? Any kid that is willing to bail out on getting even a high school education for the promise of [gasp] $7.50 an hour probably wasn't destined for great things anyway. Hope you've got shoes on with some good traction, because that's a pretty slick slope you're on...

#781783Post 29 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

Ok enough about economic theories of what may happen if we raise the minimum wage. I'm old enough to remember seeing the minimum wage get raised twice and I made the minimum wage both times. No one got fired at work and no one I knew got fired because their employer couldn't afford to keep them on the payroll.

The reality is that people need a wage so people can afford things like housing, clothing, shelter, and transportation. Those living expenses have increased quite a bit over the last 12 years and the wages need to be increased to afford those costs.

And btw economists don't predict things well at all. I've worked in finance and accounting for 12 years and no one I've ever met can predict the market or what the economy will do. If they tell you otherwise, they're lying or good guessers.

#781802Post 30 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[QUOTE=superdave;429243]And btw economists don't predict things well at all. I've worked in finance and accounting for 12 years and no one I've ever met can predict the market or what the economy will do. If they tell you otherwise, they're lying or good guessers.[/QUOTE] I couldn't have said it better myself. I'd studied finance, economics and statistics in my lifetime and truth be told, they're not always right and rarely able to predict. Statistics could be found to show you anything that you'd like them to...it's all a matter of how you phrase the questions and the conclusions.

One of the major mistakes that those involved in economics tend to make is that every economic theory has some assumptions that are made in order to begin theorizing. One of the most common is that there is a true free market in the world, in terms of access and information, which no one could possibly think is actually true. It's because these assumptions don't actually hold that economic theories don't play out as neatly as some may think and hope.

#783320Post 31 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

I think the biggest question here is how soon will the voting public do an about face when the so called democratically controlled congress when foreign policy reforms get bogged down. These domestic policies being addressed at the moment are feel good politics When are the democratic gonna go to the mat with the Republicans over Iraq, the Middle East, and our role as world policeman All the talk and gavel raising just seems like limo liberalism I don't think the new political majority is willing to get dirty and risk 2008, there will be mediocre policy in hopes letting the current admin hang themselves on foriegn affairs. Otherwise, oil prices are down, jobs are available, cost of living sucks but that's why they invent Top Ramen, enjoy.

#783328Post 32 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

Its called career politicians. Only in it for themselves. Our fault (voter) for letting it get like this.

#783345Post 33 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

^that's what happens with a two party system with both parties firmly entrenched :evil:

#783346Post 34 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

All the politicans in the house Say Hell Yeah

#783449Post 35 of 35

Re: First 100 hours

[quote=rubyraks;430965]^that's what happens with a two party system with both parties firmly entrenched :evil:[/quote]

Agreed. And thats why I saw its our fault.

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